How to identify false breakout?

Avoiding Traps in the Market | Whatsinfin Insights

In the fast-moving world of trading, breakouts often grab attention. But not every breakout is the real deal. Some are false breakouts — deceptive moves that trick traders into entering positions, only to quickly reverse and trigger losses.

So, how do you spot the fake from the real? Here’s a simple, smart guide:


🧠 What is a False Breakout?

A false breakout occurs when the price moves beyond a key level (like support or resistance) but then quickly reverses back. It gives the illusion of a new trend but actually traps traders before the price resumes its previous direction.


🔑 How to Identify a False Breakout

  1. Low Volume Confirmation
    A real breakout usually comes with strong volume. If volume is weak, it’s likely a trap.
  2. Quick Reversal Candles
    Watch for pin bars, engulfing candles, or doji patterns right after the breakout. These often signal a fake move.
  3. No Retest of Breakout Level
    Real breakouts often retest the broken level (turning resistance into support or vice versa). If price doesn’t retest, be cautious.
  4. Divergence on RSI or MACD
    If the price is breaking out but your indicators show divergence (e.g., RSI isn’t confirming momentum), it’s suspicious.
  5. Breakouts During Low-Volume Sessions
    Many false breakouts happen during Asian sessions or before major news — when there’s low liquidity.

🧠 Pro Tip:

Before entering any breakout trade, wait for confirmation — either a successful retest or a strong candle close beyond the level with high volume.


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